I'm so excited, and I just can't hide it
Rumors of a storm next Monday have been swirling around the weenie world since the weekend. (I’m always impressed how much avid skiers are also weather weenies.)
When the models are locked into a similar looking bomb of a storm that far in advance, it gets your attention–but unlike the last system, this one is going to have a rain/snow line issue most likely, riding just a bit inside of what we consider the “storm benchmark.”
The thing is, that could be ideal for the Loaf.
Look–this storm is still 4-5 days out…so a lot can change. But this was me when I watched the latest models come in:
As it stands, the Loaf is right in that perfect spot between a strong coastal front and the low pressure system itself:
The EURO model is similar:
Both of these models put the Loaf into a really dynamic snow region that could result in over a foot of snow.
Now we wait to see the fine tuning of the track.
The biggest risk is that this thing jogs too far west and becomes a bit warm in the mid levels. That’s certainly possible, but it helps us that most of the model ensemble clusters favor a more easterly path.
The weenie in me wants to see the track actually wobble a bit farther East, out to sea in the next day or two, so that we are set up well for the inevitable NW model track jog within 48-72 hours of an event. But that’s all inside baseball. All we need to know is there’s big potential in Monday and I’m watching it like a hawk.
– Carson out.
KEITH CARSON | Weather Czar
NEWS CENTER Maine | WCSH 6 & WLBZ 2