The Rookie's Unofficial Forecast
As I'm sure you already know, there's a storm brewing to our South. But what you may not know is that our good friend Keith Carson is enjoying the sunshine and seventy degree temperatures in Hawaii.
So unfortunately, we won't get his take on snowfall amounts this week, but hey; I took a weather lab in college, and I read about one hundred forecasts a day, so I figured I would take a stab at decoding this storm for you. Hold on to your helmets.
I'm not really equipped with the necessary technology to compare the GFS and Euro models, so I turned to Todd Gutner, one of Keith's counterparts at WCSH6, who has us well in the 6-10" range.
The storm is expected to start around midnight, with increasing intensity during the early morning hours. IE. If you want to enjoy a full day of free refills here at Sugarloaf, I'd hit the road this evening as opposed to making the drive in the morning.
Todd's forecast dives into the battle of freezing rain vs. sleet, and though tough to call, it sounds like sleet will prevail—potentially sparing us from ice related lift delays.
The folks at the Weather Channel—Keith's old stomping grounds—say that this storm has big snow potential depending on the track and suggest that we could see as much as a foot of new snow by the time it's all said and done.
The general consensus across all the forecasts I've seen is that although the exact storm track and precipitation change-over is somewhat fickle, we will see snow tomorrow. And a lot of it.
I think it's safe to expect 8-10" of snow, but wouldn't be surprised if we're closer to the 12" mark—especially at elevation.
As for the mixed precipitation (remember, I'm not an expert in this department), I think we'll dodge the rain line and see only a little bit of sleet (and possibly some freezing rain) before the storm moves out.
Mahalo from the Loaf.