February >> January

Thursday, February 1, 2018

(Sweet duck face, brah)

Last update I talked about a large scale pattern shift I saw coming that would likely translate into a couple of snowstorms.

Well that pattern is now setting up, and the Devil lies in the details.

The first light snow event in this run will occur on Friday, just a cold front slipping through but I think it'll put down a quick 2-3" at the Loaf.

After that we get a bright (but admittedly frigid) Saturday break.

Next system is Sunday and it's basically overrunning snow from a warm front to the South. But Sunday night a coastal secondary low will try to get cooking, but won't fully develop. The result will be a relatively progressive and sheared snowstorm. That's going to be bad news for the coastline as I think they will change over to rain with no cold flow pulling into the center of circulation, but The Loaf should be able to stay on the wintry side of the system, producing a possible 6" snowfall.

A short break and then ANOTHER storm threatens on Thursday. This one is similar, and rain/snow will have to be watched given that it's so far out in the future.

Synoptically speaking, the pattern is good. The ONLY bummer is that there is no blocking to our North. The classic butt-kicking snowstorms all have a blocking high to slow down the system. Otherwise it's progressive, fast, and less impactful.

Still, the beginning of February>>>>>>most of January.

Carson Out 

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