A Homerun For The Loaf
I can't remember a time when a computer model locked into a storm like the EURO did on this one. It had this storm pegged since Dec 22nd and did not waiver one little bit.
(Six consecutive EURO runs):
So here we are, with a lock for The Loaf.
The rapid strengthening of the low pressure system Thursday night, also known as bombogenesis, will bring warm air and rain to the coastline, but it will act to bring some convective dynamics to the snowfall in the mountains.
By the way, bombogenesis is technically when a low pressure system deepens 24 millibars of pressure or more in 24 hours or less. The Gulf of Maine is a hot spot for this activity because of its class of relatively warm ocean water and very cold continental air. This "bombing out" gives us some of our best snowstorms.
(Yes I really used "bombogenesis" on TV...)
What's up with my face?
All that is a fancy way of saying, here comes the snow. It'll start around 2 PM and the max snowfall rates will hit between 8 PM and 3 AM Friday morning. With the convective nature of the storm there could even be some thundersnow, although I feel most of that activity will be south of Sugarloaf.
Snowfall totals, that's what you want right?
Solid 12-18". It will be a heavier snow at the base of the mountain due to relatively mild boundary layer temperatures, but it should lighten up in consistency as you get to the summit. Either way, Friday and Saturday are going to be awesome.
The snow ends relatively early on Friday morning so if you want to ski or ride during the actual snow, you better head up first thing on Thursday morning.
After that we will get a light little refresher snow on Saturday night.
That's probably just a 1-3" kinda deal. But still, I'll take it.
Rock on and enjoy the snow.